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Crossrail proves to be the silver bullet against an otherwise sluggish London market

Crossrail proves to be the silver bullet against an otherwise sluggish London marketThe latest research from London lettings and estate agent, Benham and Reeves, has shown that while the wider London property market has struggled in the two years since Crossrail officially opened, locations with a Crossrail station have been largely protected by a decline in house prices, increasing by an average of 3.3% since May 2022 when the line finally opened.

Benham and Reeves analysed house price growth across the postcodes home to each of the 41 Crossrail stations before comparing this to the wider market, as well as the local authorities in which each Crossrail station is found.*

The research shows that, across the Crossrail line as a whole, house prices in postcodes home to a Crossrail station have increased by an average of 3.3% since it first opened. However, since May 2022 property values have fallen by an average of -2.5% across the wider local authorities in which these Crossrail stations are found.

Since May 2022, the average London house price has fallen by -2.4% and at -3.7% this drop has been even greater across the wider boroughs home to a Crossrail station. However, postcodes home to a Crossrail station have seen an average increase of 2.5% during the same period, a swing of 6.2% versus the performance of the wider boroughs.

The same is also true outside of the M25, where Crossrail postcodes have enjoyed growth of 5.7% since the line opened, while the wider local authorities in which they are found have seen a marginal decline of -0.2% – again a swing of 5.9%.

The W1 postcode, home to both the Tottenham Court Road and Bond Street Crossrail stations, has seen the highest rate of house price growth since the line opened – up by 17.2% since May 2022.

In contrast, the wider boroughs of Camden (-15.6%) and Westminster (-12.7%), of which the W1 postcode covers, have both seen significant reductions in the average house price in the last two years.

The Canary Wharf Crossrail postcode of E14 has seen the average house price climb by 11.8% versus a -6.9% reduction seen across the wider borough of Tower Hamlets.

The RG10 postcode of Twyford has also seen double-digit house price growth of 10.5% since the launch of Crossrail, nearly double that compared to the growth seen across the wider area of Wokingham (5.4%).

In fact, 33 of the 41 Crossrail stations have seen positive house price growth across their respective postcodes since it launched, with 26 of the 41 stations seeing this postcode house price performance outperform that of the wider local authority.

Director of Benham and Reeves, Marc von Grundherr, commented:

“Ever since it was first announced there was a buzz about Crossrail and areas due to benefit from the scheme started to see an almost immediate uplift in property market activity. While there’s been a few bumps in the road, or line as it were, it remains a fantastic draw for potential buyers who value the ability to traverse the capital and beyond with greater ease.

Of course, when it was first announced, no one could have predicted that higher mortgage rates and wider economic angst would result in the lethargic rate of house price growth seen across the London market over the last few years.

However, in this respect, Crossrail has certainly been a silver bullet, with postcodes home to a station largely outperforming the local authorities in which they are located and many posting positive house price growth versus the declines seen across the wider area.”

Table shows each Crossrail station postcode and the change in house price since the line first launched, as well as the wider local authority and its performance over the same period and the difference in performance between the two
Crossrail Station CR station outcode Location Outcode ave price – May 2022 Outcode ave price – May 2024 Outcode change % Wider area / local authority district Wider area ave price – May 2022 Wider area ave price – latest available (Mar 2024) Wider area change % Difference in rate of house price growth (Postcode vs Wider Local Authority)
Tottenham Court Road W1 London ÂŁ1,540,476 ÂŁ1,805,018 17.2% Camden ÂŁ846,348 ÂŁ679,701 -19.7% 36.9%
Bond Street W1 London ÂŁ1,540,476 ÂŁ1,805,018 17.2% City of Westminster ÂŁ1,062,555 ÂŁ910,652 -14.3% 31.5%
Liverpool Street EC2 London ÂŁ946,257 ÂŁ981,498 3.7% City of London ÂŁ892,872 ÂŁ676,544 -24.2% 28.0%
Canary Wharf E14 London ÂŁ519,862 ÂŁ581,045 11.8% Tower Hamlets ÂŁ487,472 ÂŁ443,193 -9.1% 20.9%
Paddington W2 London ÂŁ968,100 ÂŁ984,331 1.7% City of Westminster ÂŁ1,062,555 ÂŁ910,652 -14.3% 16.0%
Shenfield CM15 Outside London ÂŁ487,448 ÂŁ520,357 6.8% Brentwood ÂŁ469,546 ÂŁ452,643 -3.6% 10.4%
Brentwood CM14 Outside London ÂŁ381,022 ÂŁ402,207 5.6% Brentwood ÂŁ469,546 ÂŁ452,643 -3.6% 9.2%
Chadwell Heath RM6 London ÂŁ371,790 ÂŁ394,999 6.2% Redbridge ÂŁ460,993 ÂŁ458,939 -0.4% 6.7%
Farringdon EC1 London ÂŁ820,913 ÂŁ840,781 2.4% Islington ÂŁ707,370 ÂŁ678,134 -4.1% 6.6%
Reading RG1 Outside London ÂŁ285,317 ÂŁ299,807 5.1% Reading ÂŁ331,549 ÂŁ327,158 -1.3% 6.4%
Slough SL1 Outside London ÂŁ326,596 ÂŁ339,885 4.1% Slough ÂŁ321,599 ÂŁ314,540 -2.2% 6.3%
Burnham SL1 Outside London ÂŁ326,596 ÂŁ339,885 4.1% Slough ÂŁ321,599 ÂŁ314,540 -2.2% 6.3%
Goodmayes IG3 London ÂŁ441,756 ÂŁ465,694 5.4% Redbridge ÂŁ460,993 ÂŁ458,939 -0.4% 5.9%
Seven Kings IG3 London ÂŁ441,756 ÂŁ465,694 5.4% Redbridge ÂŁ460,993 ÂŁ458,939 -0.4% 5.9%
Whitechapel E1 London ÂŁ582,992 ÂŁ563,943 -3.3% Tower Hamlets ÂŁ487,472 ÂŁ443,193 -9.1% 5.8%
Iver SL0 Outside London ÂŁ497,189 ÂŁ534,040 7.4% Buckinghamshire ÂŁ438,772 ÂŁ450,295 2.6% 4.8%
Twyford RG10 Outside London ÂŁ539,950 ÂŁ596,395 10.5% Wokingham ÂŁ458,987 ÂŁ488,356 6.4% 4.1%
Hayes and Harlington UB3 London ÂŁ374,674 ÂŁ400,541 6.9% Hillingdon ÂŁ443,796 ÂŁ456,719 2.9% 4.0%
Harold Wood RM3 London ÂŁ345,512 ÂŁ367,455 6.4% Havering ÂŁ414,287 ÂŁ424,450 2.5% 3.9%
Custom House E16 London ÂŁ441,466 ÂŁ447,625 1.4% Newham ÂŁ393,603 ÂŁ384,741 -2.3% 3.6%
Forest Gate E7 London ÂŁ461,421 ÂŁ467,254 1.3% Newham ÂŁ393,603 ÂŁ384,741 -2.3% 3.5%
Maryland E15 London ÂŁ449,140 ÂŁ453,022 0.9% Newham ÂŁ393,603 ÂŁ384,741 -2.3% 3.1%
Stratford E15 London ÂŁ449,140 ÂŁ453,022 0.9% Newham ÂŁ393,603 ÂŁ384,741 -2.3% 3.1%
Southall UB2 London ÂŁ392,640 ÂŁ402,748 2.6% Ealing ÂŁ519,936 ÂŁ518,461 -0.3% 2.9%
Langley SL3 Outside London ÂŁ411,085 ÂŁ430,770 4.8% Buckinghamshire ÂŁ438,772 ÂŁ450,295 2.6% 2.2%
Ilford IG1 London ÂŁ378,709 ÂŁ383,544 1.3% Redbridge ÂŁ460,993 ÂŁ458,939 -0.4% 1.7%
Romford RM1 London ÂŁ356,357 ÂŁ371,213 4.2% Havering ÂŁ414,287 ÂŁ424,450 2.5% 1.7%
Heathrow T2,3 TW6 London ÂŁ403,737 ÂŁ422,392 4.6% Hillingdon ÂŁ443,796 ÂŁ456,719 2.9% 1.7%
Heathrow T4 TW6 London ÂŁ403,737 ÂŁ422,392 4.6% Hillingdon ÂŁ443,796 ÂŁ456,719 2.9% 1.7%
Heathrow T5 TW6 London ÂŁ403,737 ÂŁ422,392 4.6% Hillingdon ÂŁ443,796 ÂŁ456,719 2.9% 1.7%
Acton Main Line W3 London ÂŁ535,129 ÂŁ542,311 1.3% Ealing ÂŁ519,936 ÂŁ518,461 -0.3% 1.6%
Maidenhead SL6 Outside London ÂŁ481,783 ÂŁ490,494 1.8% Windsor and Maidenhead ÂŁ550,978 ÂŁ552,805 0.3% 1.5%
Manor Park E12 London ÂŁ418,970 ÂŁ415,239 -0.9% Newham ÂŁ393,603 ÂŁ384,741 -2.3% 1.4%
West Ealing W13 London ÂŁ664,504 ÂŁ669,005 0.7% Ealing ÂŁ519,936 ÂŁ518,461 -0.3% 1.0%
Hanwell W7 London ÂŁ548,999 ÂŁ547,331 -0.3% Ealing ÂŁ519,936 ÂŁ518,461 -0.3% 0.0%
Abbey Wood SE2 London ÂŁ357,055 ÂŁ368,163 3.1% Bexley ÂŁ390,538 ÂŁ403,037 3.2% -0.1%
Taplow SL6 Outside London ÂŁ481,783 ÂŁ490,494 1.8% Buckinghamshire ÂŁ438,772 ÂŁ450,295 2.6% -0.8%
West Drayton UB7 London ÂŁ377,538 ÂŁ377,246 -0.1% Hillingdon ÂŁ443,796 ÂŁ456,719 2.9% -3.0%
Ealing Broadway W5 London ÂŁ629,799 ÂŁ604,280 -4.1% Ealing ÂŁ519,936 ÂŁ518,461 -0.3% -3.8%
Gidea Park RM2 London ÂŁ464,564 ÂŁ449,372 -3.3% Havering ÂŁ414,287 ÂŁ424,450 2.5% -5.7%
Woolwich SE18 London ÂŁ412,538 ÂŁ399,042 -3.3% Greenwich ÂŁ429,867 ÂŁ461,784 7.4% -10.7%
Average London (excluding duplicates) ÂŁ505,145 ÂŁ517,823 2.5% Average London (excluding duplicates) ÂŁ552,339 ÂŁ522,674 -5.4% 7.9%
Average Outside of London (excluding duplicates) ÂŁ417,335 ÂŁ441,178 5.7% Average Outside of London (excluding duplicates) ÂŁ420,842 ÂŁ422,181 0.3% 5.4%
Average overall (excluding duplicates) ÂŁ482,950 ÂŁ498,669 3.3% Average overall (excluding duplicates) ÂŁ504,480 ÂŁ486,766 -3.5% 6.8%
*Where a station sits within the same postcode or wider local authority as another station, only one data point was used to find the topline averages for overall Crossrail market performance. For example, the W1 postcode was only used once for Tottenham Court Road and Bond Street, whilst the data was only included once for each London borough or local authority included.

Crossrail postcode house price data sourced from PropertyData – May 2022 vs May 2024.
Wider local authority level house price data sourced from the Gov UK House Price Index – May 2022 vs March 2024 (Latest available).
*Where a station sits within the same postcode or wider local authority as another station, only one data point was used to find the topline averages for overall Crossrail market performance. For example, the W1 postcode was only used once for Tottenham Court Road and Bond Street, whilst the data was only included once for each London borough or local authority included.

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About the Author

Established in 1958, Benham and Reeves is one of London’s oldest, independently owned property lettings and sales agents. With specialism in residential sales, corporate lettings and property management in prime areas of London, the company operates from 21 prominently located branches and 14 international offices.

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