Leading lettings and sales agent, Benham and Reeves, has released the latest of its very own quarterly house price index based on data from the top four existing indices, looking at where the average house price sits and how the gap between buyer and seller expectation and actual sales has changed.
The Benham and Reeves house price index combines data from the four leading industry indices to give a singular figure of how the UK market is moving based on both buyer and seller sentiment, as well as looking at the difference in these indices and what they reveal about the state of the current market.
Current property values
The latest index from Benham and Reeves shows that the current overall average UK house price is sitting at ÂŁ252,487 having increased by 0.3% on the previous quarter, up by 0.9% on an annual basis.
In London, the average property value climbs to ÂŁ513,180, up 0.2% on the previous quarter although values in the capital are still down -0.8% on an annual basis.
Sellers remain over expectant
The latest quarterly data from Nationwide and Halifax shows that the amount UK buyers are committing to borrowing has fallen -0.7% to an average of ÂŁ224,490.
Tough market conditions have also caused the average asking price expected by UK home sellers to fall quarter to quarter, although the drop has been more marginal at -0.4% and at ÂŁ306,321, the average UK asking price is still some 36.5% higher than the mortgage approval sum.
This over expectation is also evident when comparing asking prices to sold prices, with the current average sold price coming in at ÂŁ234,075, -23.6% lower than the current average asking price, although sales prices themselves have crept up 2.1% on the previous quarter.
A tougher time for the London market means this gap between seller expectation and market reality is smaller, although the difference between the average price approved by Nationwide and Halifax and the average asking price is still at 33.1%, while sold prices in the capital are still some -21.9% lower than the current average asking price. Although, again, sold prices have increased by 2.6% quarter to quarter.
Director of Benham and Reeves, Marc von Grundherr, commented:
“An over-inflated asking price is a common occurrence in the market and one often driven by a seller’s emotions coupled with the tendency for an agent to overvalue in order to win business.
However, with political uncertainty causing a large degree of market turmoil, we’ve seen many sellers lower their asking price expectations in order to secure a sale. As a result, there has been a slight uplift in sold prices as buyers agree to meet in the middle, however, the deficit between what we believe our homes are worth and what buyers are actually paying remains rather large.
As we enter a new decade we may see this gap continue to close, but the likelihood is that as market activity heightens we will once again see asking prices increase as buyer activity returns and UK home sellers chance their arm at a higher price point.”
| Benham and Reeves House Price Index |
| UK |
| Year |
Quarter |
Average House Price |
Quarterly Change |
Annual Change |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ245,074 |
– |
– |
|
Q2 |
ÂŁ248,245 |
1.3% |
– |
|
Q3 |
ÂŁ250,244 |
0.8% |
– |
|
Q4 |
ÂŁ248,513 |
-0.7% |
– |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ247,463 |
-0.4% |
1.0% |
|
Q2 |
ÂŁ251,682 |
1.7% |
1.4% |
|
Q3 |
ÂŁ252,487 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
| Benham and Reeves House Price Index |
| London |
| Year |
Quarter |
Average House Price |
Quarterly Change |
Annual Change |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ519,238 |
– |
– |
|
Q2 |
ÂŁ520,412 |
0.2% |
– |
|
Q3 |
ÂŁ517,059 |
-0.6% |
– |
|
Q4 |
ÂŁ514,976 |
-0.4% |
– |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ504,731 |
-2.0% |
-2.8% |
|
Q2 |
ÂŁ512,193 |
1.5% |
-1.6% |
|
Q3 |
ÂŁ513,180 |
0.2% |
-0.8% |
| UK |
| Year |
Quarter |
Mortgage
Approvals Price |
Difference |
Asking Price |
Difference |
Sold Price |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ218,231 |
-27.4% |
ÂŁ300,684 |
-25.4% |
ÂŁ224,319 |
| 2018 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ219,116 |
40.4% |
ÂŁ307,745 |
-26.3% |
ÂŁ226,869 |
| 2018 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ221,959 |
37.4% |
ÂŁ305,060 |
-24.1% |
ÂŁ231,438 |
| 2018 |
Q4 |
ÂŁ220,522 |
37.1% |
ÂŁ302,239 |
-23.8% |
ÂŁ230,274 |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ221,578 |
35.6% |
ÂŁ300,481 |
-24.3% |
ÂŁ227,608 |
| 2019 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ225,987 |
36.2% |
ÂŁ307,691 |
-25.5% |
ÂŁ229,276 |
| 2019 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ224,490 |
36.5% |
ÂŁ306,321 |
-23.6% |
ÂŁ234,075 |
| London |
| Year |
Quarter |
Mortgage
Approvals Price |
Difference |
Asking Price |
Difference |
Sold Price |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ473,776 |
30.8% |
ÂŁ619,905 |
-23.1% |
ÂŁ476,653 |
| 2018 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ468,845 |
34.0% |
ÂŁ628,174 |
-23.8% |
ÂŁ478,555 |
| 2018 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ468,544 |
31.2% |
ÂŁ614,537 |
-21.9% |
ÂŁ480,090 |
| 2018 |
Q4 |
ÂŁ466,988 |
31.5% |
ÂŁ614,044 |
-22.4% |
ÂŁ476,273 |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ455,594 |
32.8% |
ÂŁ605,178 |
-22.9% |
ÂŁ466,356 |
| 2019 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ465,722 |
32.7% |
ÂŁ618,232 |
-24.5% |
ÂŁ466,683 |
| 2019 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ460,686 |
33.1% |
ÂŁ612,967 |
-21.9% |
ÂŁ478,594 |
| Mortgage Approvals Average House Price* |
| Year |
Quarter |
UK |
London |
| Average House Price |
Difference |
Average House Price |
Difference |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ218,231 |
|
ÂŁ473,776 |
|
| 2018 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ219,116 |
0.4% |
ÂŁ468,845 |
-1.0% |
| 2018 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ221,959 |
1.3% |
ÂŁ468,544 |
-0.1% |
| 2018 |
Q4 |
ÂŁ220,522 |
-0.6% |
ÂŁ466,988 |
-0.3% |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ221,578 |
0.5% |
ÂŁ455,594 |
-2.4% |
| 2019 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ225,987 |
2.0% |
ÂŁ465,722 |
2.2% |
| 2019 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ224,490 |
-0.7% |
ÂŁ460,686 |
-1.1% |
| *Based on mortgage approval house price data from Halifax and Nationwide |
| Average Asking Price* |
| Year |
Quarter |
UK |
London |
| Average House Price |
Difference |
Average House Price |
Difference |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ300,684 |
|
ÂŁ619,905 |
|
| 2018 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ307,745 |
2.3% |
ÂŁ628,174 |
1.3% |
| 2018 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ305,060 |
-0.9% |
ÂŁ614,537 |
-2.2% |
| 2018 |
Q4 |
ÂŁ302,239 |
-0.9% |
ÂŁ614,044 |
-0.1% |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ300,481 |
-0.6% |
ÂŁ605,178 |
-1.4% |
| 2019 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ307,691 |
2.4% |
ÂŁ618,232 |
2.2% |
| 2019 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ306,321 |
-0.4% |
ÂŁ612,967 |
-0.9% |
| *Based on asking price data from Rightmove’s House Price Index |
| Average Sold Price* |
| Year |
Quarter |
UK |
London |
| Average House Price |
Difference |
Average House Price |
Difference |
| 2018 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ224,319 |
|
ÂŁ476,653 |
|
| 2018 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ226,869 |
1.1% |
ÂŁ478,555 |
0.4% |
| 2018 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ231,438 |
2.0% |
ÂŁ480,090 |
0.3% |
| 2018 |
Q4 |
ÂŁ230,274 |
-0.5% |
ÂŁ476,273 |
-0.8% |
| 2019 |
Q1 |
ÂŁ227,608 |
-1.2% |
ÂŁ466,356 |
-2.1% |
| 2019 |
Q2 |
ÂŁ229,276 |
0.7% |
ÂŁ466,683 |
0.1% |
| 2019 |
Q3 |
ÂŁ234,075 |
2.1% |
ÂŁ478,594 |
2.6% |
| *Based on sold price data from the Land Registry House Price Index |